Sport betting is popular word wide but it is not easy to for new punters to get into it without first understanding the basics of money lines and point spread and how they move.
Sport betting line basics
A sports betting line is of two types money line and point spread. A money line depends on the result of a match alone whereas in case of point spread the margin of victory matters. When the bookmakers start accepting bets on an upcoming match, they set the initial odd which is nothing but the sports betting line.
For example in case of a match between Team A and Team B an odd in terms of a money line will look something like this
Team A +120 (2.20)
Team B -150 (1.67)
If the bookies introduce a point spread the betting line will be something like this
Team A +2.5 -150(1.67)
Team B -2.5 -150(1.67)
This first or initial line is called the opening line based on the match statistics and is set by the expert sports book folks. However, the opening line is not exactly in sync with what the computer algorithms of the bookmakers predict. Bookmakers change the odds so that their profit margins increase and then set the opening line. Hence, no punter should take the odds set by the betting sites at face value. Compare the lines in different sites and then choose the line which looks more accurate giving you a higher profit margin.
Some people will bet on the opening line itself and some prefer to see how the line moves.
When does the sport betting line move?
The betting line moves when the bets start pouring in. The bookmakers see which direction the tide is flowing. If all start betting on the favourites, the line moves in the direction of underdogs by changing the point spread or the money line amount. In some cases, a reverse line move also can happen wherein the bookies encourage bets on the preferred team to continue as long as their margins are safe. If the line moves by significant points, it indicates that the bets are being placed by professional punters. It is a safe idea to place your bet in such a case as professionals would have usually studied about the match and then come to the conclusion that the sports betting line is an attractive one.
Bookmakers move sports betting line to prevent all folks from betting on one team. If all bet on the favorites, in case of a favorite win, the bookmakers will have to pay back to all winners. Their profits will be less. So once the line moves in favor of the underdogs, if people start placing bets on underdogs, the bookmakers account gets balanced. In this way they try to ensure that their profits do not suffer.
There are many betting portals which now offer live streaming of line data. Punters can monitor the various sports betting line moves and see the latest odds. Then a site by site comparison shows the line movement trend and a punter can decide the safest bet. Ensure that you have understood the point spread and the money line basics of sports betting line before selecting a final odd.
Sport s betting is not everyone’s cup of tea. But the internet has made its recipe available to everyone at attractive rates!! So those who want to know what is cooking in the sports betting industry just need to log in to the net and viola a full array of items are there on the menu. From soccer to basketball, from baseball to cricket, you name it and the bets are placed on all possible games.
For a first time cook, this sports bet recipe can be a daunting task. The internet again comes to the rescue of such amateurs. There are a variety of help sites dedicated to sports betting which offer free sports bet picks. These picks are nothing but handpicked advices from professionals who do hours of research and come up with winning picks which are likely to convert to a winning proposition.
What are free sports bet picks?
Free sports bet picks are the result of brainstorming of a team of professionals employed by sports website companies. These professionals use computer algorithms and their professional sports betting experience to come with percentages of winning probability of each type of bet opened for the public in various sports book sites. They compute probability of all bets like result, winning handicaps, margin of victory, number of goals, etc.
Once these probabilities are computed, they are ranked on the basis of their possibilities and then announced to the public in the form of free sports bet picks.
There are many sites like zulubet, covers.com, sportsfreepicks.com (all sites are only quoted for your reference) and many others which get listed the moment you type in free sports bet picks in your search engine. Picking up a really useful site best suited for you can again be an issue. Well, statistical research can take care of this confusion. Compare the previous day’s results with the results predicted by the sites and calculate their accuracy percentages. Most of these sites themselves show their historical archived data to for a quick calculation to find their success ratios.
There are many review based sites which rate the free sports bet picks sites and also tell us which tipsters are the best of the lot.
The beauty of these free sports bet picks is that once punters are comfortable with the site, we can also pick up picks of sports which they usually do not watch and have no clue about. Just go with the predictions of the free sports bet pick and place your bet. Start with low stakes so that you do not lose out your bankroll in case of a loss. If you win, it will reinforce your belief in the site and your positive reviews will help other new punters like you. This is how the business of free sports bet picks works on the basis of word of mouth reviews.
The free sports bet picks keep flowing in till the matches actually start. So keep monitoring the picks in case of any major fluctuations in the predictions so that you do not miss out any last minute action!!
Betting on sports is a popular activity amongst punters all over the world. It is a form of gambling and hence the probability of a win is same as that of a loss. Punters try to increase the chances of a win by conducting an analysis before going for the sports betting.
It has been observed that before betting on any sport an analysis of all the statistics before a match increases the chances of a win.
How should we go about doing a sports betting analysis prior to any match? Well, in this article we try to look at some of the ways in which we can do an analysis.
Surf the net and compare the odds
There are many online sports betting sites and each of them uses their own sports betting analysis to come up with odds for a match. Go through each site and compare the odds or use sites which are exclusively present on the web for this sort of comparison only. You will get an idea of how the odds are placed, what are the predictions. This will help you to understand the probabilities of all possible outcomes and then you choose the right kind of bet.
Statistical sports betting analysis
Bookies use their own statistics to come up with their odds and set them up to maximise their profits. As a punter you too can do your own statistical sports betting analysis for crucial matches. Internet is full of sites hosting team data. You can easily see the past trends, current forms of the teams and determine the possible outcome.
There are some factors which should be considered in any sports betting analysis. They are
Where is the match being played? The home team always has an extra edge in most matches
Are the key players playing? If any key player has been injured the odds will change drastically. Similarly if any key player is back from injury it also will make a difference to the odds.
What is the weather forecast? The climate plays an important role in many match results.
What is the team composition? Usually big countries sport fresh teams to give match practice to young players. In such a case though the country is a renowned one, it might not have the potential to win the match. So wait till the time line up is announced.
How important is a win? Sometimes once a team gets qualified to the next stage, the remaining qualifier matches for that team are not significant. Some countries give rest to key players in such a case and some treat it like an important match. You should analyze the past data in this kind of sports betting analysis to see the trend and come up with your choice.
Sport betting analysis doesn’t always guarantee a success. Past performance doesn’t guarantee anybody’s performance. Today is always a bright new day. Going only by gut feel is never recommended in any form of betting. A proper structured analysis prior to placing a bet will always help if not make you win.